Can't Hold 2600? Blue Chips at 6000, Micro Caps at 1664 or 998
Let's start with the potential direction!
Bottom-fishing in micro-cap stocks?
Growth is a prerequisite!
Recently, the ChiNext board has performed more sturdily than the Shanghai Composite Index.
This indicates that capital is beginning to shift towards micro-cap stocks!
The current micro-cap stocks are akin to the levels of 998 or 1664, and some that have been delisted are even at negative points.
So, which micro-cap stocks can rise?
Naturally, it's the enduring companies with growth potential.
These types of micro-caps are likely to attract capital inflows as a seesaw effect.
Capital has nowhere else to go.
In blue-chip stocks, there are billions and tens of billions of inflows, but the blue-chip market is vast, and such a large amount of capital can't push the index up by much.
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On the contrary, just a small outflow of capital can trigger panic and a rush to sell, leading to a more volatile index.
This is quite a troublesome issue!
Don't envy the U.S. stock market and India, as they are also driven by a few leading stocks.
The advantage is that they have short-selling hedging, so their market movements are more genuine, with less one-sided impact.
Our situation... it's too complex.
Sometimes financial reports are not credible, and restructuring and hype are frequent, but of course, these are normal.
Good companies, real leading companies, are usually one in ten thousand, one or two out of ten thousand stocks.
If you find one, cherish it.
Everything is possible.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut may trigger a frenzy of hot money!
China and India will still be the favorite emerging markets for future hot money.
And currently, the most popular is still our country.
Because India's planning and execution are too weak, although GDP is growing rapidly, the development plan is disorderly, and the cost and uncertainty factors are relatively large.
In the short to medium term, if a large amount of hot money wants to enter, it faces significant uncertainty.
So if the hot money from the U.S. wants to invest in emerging markets, China will still be the most ideal place.
If the real estate market doesn't dare to rise, then the most ideal direction is A-shares.
The downside is that there are many listed companies in the stock market, but good opportunities are not many.
Can 2700 points hold on for a few more days?
Can't even 2600 points hold on?
Why did the index fall?
The main reason is that blue-chip stocks are being sold off.
And the reason for the decline in blue-chip stocks is that they have risen too high.
For example, the banking sector has actually reached a historical high in the past two months, allowing those who were stuck at 6214 points in 2007 to break even.
That is to say, the current high-dividend blue-chip stocks are equivalent to being at a high level near 6000 points.
And they have just broken down and fallen... How can this be stopped?
At present, in addition to continuing to increase the investment in support funds, blue-chip T+0 may be able to support blue-chips.
Without stronger favorable policies, it will be difficult to stop the decline of blue-chip stocks, and the index will be difficult to stop falling.
2700 points currently, it seems that breaking through is just a matter of time, and even 2600 points are also actively at risk.
Mainly it's the blue-chips that are falling, too difficult to stop.
The European Central Bank has cut interest rates.
This is the law of the world.
Before the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, other countries are usually eager to cut interest rates first.
Just now, the European Central Bank announced its interest rate decision, lowering the deposit mechanism rate by 25 basis points, and reducing the main refinancing and marginal lending rates by 60 basis points.
After this interest rate cut, the main refinancing rate, marginal lending rate, and deposit mechanism rate are 3.65%, 3.90%, and 3.50% respectively.
The European Central Bank's asymmetric interest rate cut aims to ensure market conditions are controllable during the balance sheet reduction by adjusting the spread between deposit and loan interest rates.
On September 12th, after the release of the U.S. PPI, the interest rate swap remained stable, and it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by a total of 100 basis points within the year.
Spot gold jumped and hit a record high of $2535 per ounce.
The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates with a probability of 100% on September 19th, with a probability of 85% for a 25BP cut and a probability of 15% for a 50BP cut; the expectation for the number of interest rate cuts within the year is four times.
Our country is also expected to follow with interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio cuts, at least with other disguised easing measures, which will affect banks, so the index has been falling recently.
If 2600 points are broken, don't be sad, because there are both crises and opportunities.
Because micro-cap stocks are severely oversold, if you can find micro-cap stocks with growth potential from them, that is a great opportunity.
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