Will 2700 Break Today? Japan & Korea Crash First
Theoretically, even with interest rate cuts, the 2700-point level may not be held.
Currently, without significant reformative benefits, the 2700-point level of the A-share market seems untenable.
Because even with interest rate cuts, the anticipated benefits often only lead to a high opening followed by a low close and then a drop.
Each piece of good news that comes out is one less, and with each one, the mentality collapses, triggering a breakdown.
Today's market continues to fall unilaterally, and there is no good news.
Japan and South Korea's markets have also collapsed; if this continues, there may be a risk of breaking through the 2700-point level in the afternoon.
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T+0 is controversial, but it will be the only means to invigorate the market.
As long as the restrictions on price fluctuations are not lifted, the impact of marketization can be mitigated, and under this condition, introducing T+0 for the constituents of the CSI 300 can invigorate blue chips and the index.
At least it can stabilize somewhat!
It's possible to wait and endure until the U.S. economy explodes.
Today, the stock markets of Japan and South Korea have plummeted!
Persistent inflation in the U.S. is generally beneficial to our country and helps maintain our long-term competitiveness.
Historically, every major country has collapsed due to uncontrollable inflation because continuous high inflation leads to currency collapse and financial collapse.
Currently, our country is the only one experiencing deflation, with continuous high internal competition and huge purchasing power, maintaining a competitive edge in prices.
Except for some agricultural products, the world's manufacturing industry is still dominated by our country.
Recently, Yellen also expressed that she will seek another meeting with China in the near future, hoping to borrow more money from China and seek solutions to inflation.
The stock markets of Japan and South Korea have begun to collapse, with high prices and persistent inflation, the bubble of capital continues to expand, and the ensuing collapse is also expanding, with continuous mutual erosion until the bubble slowly dissipates, but by then, almost all technological and manufacturing advantages will have been shifted to China.
What awaits Japan and South Korea can only be more risks.
Small countries are destined to focus on tourism and entertainment industries.
Where is the opportunity?
By 2030, bank wealth management will exceed 50 trillion, and public funds will also exceed 50 trillion.
The worse the market situation, the stronger the demand for market investment and wealth management.
Because many funds need to be turned over, and for good core assets, funds will flow in.
The internet has accelerated the demand for financial management.
Data shows that the number of bank wealth management users has grown from 0.22 billion in 2019 to 1.2 billion in the first half of this year.
At the Bund Conference these two days, the global management consulting firm McKinsey stated that with the help of mobile internet and other digital channels, the scale of bank wealth management users will continue to grow.
It is expected that by 2030, the number of bank wealth management investors is expected to double to over 200 million people, and buying wealth management on mobile phones will become the core path.
According to statistics from the National Market Supervision Administration, by the end of 2023, there were 124 million individual businesses and 52 million small and micro enterprises in the country.
Over 170 million small and micro enterprises have an annual business income close to 50 trillion, and will become one of the most potential customer groups for bank wealth management, with the market size expected to double by 2030.
Currently, our country's total M2 scale has exceeded 300 trillion yuan, and the total scale of bank wealth management, insurance funds, and public funds has all exceeded or approached 30 trillion yuan, and this is only domestic funds.
If the world can be opened up in the future and world funds can be attracted, there is still hope for further expansion.
Bank wealth management: As of July 30, 2024, the scale of our country's bank wealth management market was 285.2 trillion yuan.
Insurance funds: As of May 31, 2024, the total assets of our country's insurance industry exceeded 330 trillion yuan, and the balance of funds used was close to 300 trillion yuan.
Public funds: As of July 30, 2024, the net value of assets of public funds in China reached 314.9 trillion yuan.
Private funds: As of July 30, 2024, the scale of private funds was 196.9 trillion yuan.
Opportunities are in the financial industry, among the leaders of various industries.
Integration will be the focus, and mergers and acquisitions will be the norm.
Recently, state-owned enterprises have been promoting large-scale integration and mergers and reorganizations.
There are securities companies such as Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities, and the incident involving Haitong is unknown how big it is, but the urgency of the merger indicates that it is not small.
In the shipping industry, two shipbuilding stocks with a market value of hundreds of billions of yuan will implement reorganization!
China Shipbuilding plans to merge China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry.
Next, it is expected that more large state-owned enterprises will undergo integration, expand their scale, and promote and enhance their competitiveness in the international market.
Breaking through the 2700-point level, currently, if it is only relying on ETFs to support the market, it is somewhat difficult.
Because in the bull market of indices, such as the U.S. stock market, Indian stock market, and even the Japanese and South Korean stock markets, only a few leading stocks are holding up, and most individual stocks are in disarray.
Therefore, in the future, not to mention rising, even if it is just stable, it is necessary to focus more on growth leaders.
Note, there are not many such stocks, only one or two among thousands.
This analysis is very challenging.
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